Poisson Goal Model
Poisson Goal Model
Simulate football goal distributions, project 1X2 probabilities, Over/Under totals, and exact score matrices.
P(X=k) = (λ^k × e^(-λ)) / k!
Result & Markets
Home Win
--%
--
Draw
--%
--
Away Win
--%
--
Totals (2.5)
Over 2.5
--%
--
Under 2.5
--%
--
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams to Score
--%
--
No BTTS
--%
--
Correct Score Matrix
| Away Goals | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Home Goals | 0 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% |
| 1 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | |
| 2 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | |
| 3 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | |
| 4 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | |
| 5 | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | --% | |